SPORTS ADVISORS
Nevada (4-4, 3-4 ATS) at Fresno State (5-3, 1-7 ATS)
Fresno State looks to continue its recent domination of Nevada when these two Western Athletic Conference rivals clash at Bulldog Stadium.
Fresno State has won eight of the last nine meetings with the Wolf Pack, going 4-2-1 ATS in the last seven. Last year, the Bulldogs went to Reno and earned a 49-41 win as three-point road ‘dogs, this after scoring a 28-19 home victory in 2006, failing to cash as 13-point favorites. The straight-up winner is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings between these schools.
Nevada had last weekend off after traveling to Hawaii for an Oct. 25 game that saw the Wolf Pack fall 38-31 as 3½-point road favorites. Despite that setback, Nevada’s offense has been clicking all season, coming in ranked sixth in the country in total offense (513.8 yards per game) and second in rushing (304.8 ypg). QB Colin Kaepernick leads the attack having thrown for 1,521 yards and 12 TDs while also running for 740 yards and 12 TDs.
The Bulldogs fell at Louisiana Tech on Saturday 38-35 as a 4½-point road chalk, the seventh straight non-cover for Fresno, whose last spread-cover came in a season-opening 24-7 upset at Rutgers. Pat Hill’s squad puts up 33 points and 420.4 total yards per game, with QB Tom Brandstater enjoying a solid campaign, throwing for 1,791 yards, 15 TDs and six INTs. However, thee Bulldogs’ problem has come on defense where they allow 29.4 points a game and 405.8 yards, including 208.1 ypg on the ground.
The Wolf Pack are on ATS slides of 2-6 on the road and 1-5 on the road against teams with a winning home record, but they sport pointspread runs of 12-3 following a non-cover and 11-4 after a straight-up loss. Meanwhile, Fresno State has been a disaster for bettors, currently on ATS slides of 9-26 overall, 3-13 at home, 5-17 in WAC games, 3-7 in November, 0-5 in Friday games and 7-21 following a non-cover.
Nevada has topped the total in its last eight road games against teams with a winning home mark, but otherwise the Wolf Pack are on under runs of 5-2 in conference games and 6-1 in November contests. For Fresno State, the over is on streaks of 5-0-1 overall, 4-1 at home, 6-0-1 after a non-cover and 4-0 after a straight-up loss. Lastly, in this rivalry, the over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NEVADA
NBA
Toronto (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) at Atlanta (3-0 SU and ATS)
Two teams off to surprisingly hot starts this season square off in Atlanta when the Hawks host the Raptors in an Eastern Conference matchup.
The Hawks have opened with three straight wins for the first time in 11 years, with two of the victories coming on the highway. On Wednesday, Atlanta went to New Orleans and upset the Hornets 87-79 as 8 ½-point underdogs. The Hawks’ lone home game was a 95-88 victory Saturday over the Sixers as 2½-point favorites. Defense has been the key for Atlanta, limiting the opposition to 84 points a game and 39.9 percent shooting from the field.
The Raptors opened the season with three straight wins before falling to Detroit 100-93 on Wednesday as a 3½-point home chalk. Toronto is 2-0 SU and ATS on the road so far, including a 91-87 win in Milwaukee on Saturday as a one-point ‘dog. The Raptors are shooting 47.1 percent from the floor this season and 50.8 percent from the three-point line.
Toronto took two of three from the Hawks last season (2-1 ATS) but Atlanta won a shootout at home on April 2, winning 127-120 in overtime as a 1½-point favorite. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 6-4 SU and ATS in the last 10. The straight-up winner is a perfect 10-0 ATS in this series dating back to 2005.
Going back to last season the Raptors are 38-18-2 ATS in their last 58 against Southeast Division teams, but they are on ATS slides of 11-24 overall, 7-19 after a day of rest, 4-11 on the road and 1-10 in Friday contests. Meanwhile the Hawks are on ATS streaks of 4-0 at home and 5-2 against teams from the Eastern Conference.
For Toronto, the under is on runs of 11-4-1 overall, 6-2 on the road, 5-1 against the Eastern Conference, 10-3-1 after a straight-up loss and 5-2 against Southeast Division foes. Atlanta has stayed under the total in its last four overall and five of their last seven after a spread-cover, but the over is on streaks of 9-2 at home, 10-1 after getting a day off and 5-0 on Fridays. In head-to-head meetings, the over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings, including 6-1 in the last seven in Atlanta.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA
Miami (2-2 SU and ATS) at San Antonio (1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS)
The Spurs finally got in the win column on Wednesday and now look to make it two in a row when they host the Heat.
San Antonio opened the campaign with three straight losses (0-3 ATS), including two at home, but it gutted out a 129-125 overtime win in Minnesota two nights ago. Tony Parker was a one-man wrecking crew against the T’Wolves, putting up 55 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds, but the Spurs still came up short as a 4 ½-point favorite.
Dating back to the playoffs last season, the Spurs had dropped five straight games before Wednesday and they remain in an 0-6 ATS funk.
Miami has alternated wins and losses this season and comes into this one off a 106-83 win over the Sixers on Wednesday as three-point ‘dogs. Dwyane Wade put up 29 points and pulled in seven rebounds to lead Miami to the win against Philadelphia.
The Spurs have won five of the last six meetings against Miami (3-3 ATS) and eight of the last 10 (4-5-1 ATS) dating back to 2003. San Antonio won both matchups last season but failed to cash in either one. The Spurs got an 88-78 home win as 11 ½-point favorites and scored a 90-89 road win as a 9 ½-point chalk. The home team is 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the straight-up winner is 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10 series clashes.
The Heat are on ATS slides of 2-5 against Southwest Division teams and 7-20-1 following a straight-up win, but they are on ATS streaks of 7-2 overall, 4-1 on Fridays, 4-1 after a spread-cover and 4-0 when getting a day off. Meanwhile the Spurs are riding ATS slides of 0-4 after a non-cover and 1-4 after a day off, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last four against the Southeast Division.
For Miami, the under is on streaks of 19-7 overall, 19-7 after a spread-cover, 4-0 against the Western Conference and 4-1 against the Southwest Division. It’s been all unders for San Antonio as well, including 9-3 overall, 7-1 on a day of rest, 4-1 at home and 5-0-1 after a straight-up win. When these two meet, the under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings, including 7-1 in Texas.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Dallas (2-2 SU and ATS) at Denver (1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS)
The Nuggets are scheduled to finally trot out their two new acquisitions tonight when the Mavericks visit the Mile High City in a Western Conference matchup.
Denver made an early-season blockbuster trade this week, sending Allen Iverson to Detroit for Chauncey Billups and Antonio McDyess. The trade comes on the heels of consecutive losses for the Nuggets, including a 104-97 home setback to the Lakers as 8½-point ‘dogs on Saturday then a 111-101 loss at Golden State Wednesday with an undermanned roster as 3 ½-point underdogs.
The Mavericks, who have alternated wins and losses this season, come into this one off Wednesday’s 98-81 road win in San Antonio as 4½-point underdogs. Dallas is 2-0 (SU and ATS) on the road this season, holding the opposition to 83 points a game while allowing 106 per contest at home. Dirk Nowitzki (30) and Jason Terry (29) combined for 59 points against the Spurs.
Denver took two of three from the Mavericks last season (3-0 ATS), including a 118-105 home win as an 8½-point favorite. The Nuggets are 3-1 SU (4-0 ATS) in the last five series clashes and 6-4 ATS in the last 10. Finally, the straight-up winner is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
Dallas is in ATS slumps of 0-6 after a straight-up win and 1-6 against Northwest Division teams, but they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five Friday games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against a team with a losing home record. Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last seven against Southwest Division teams and 4-0 ATS in its last four Friday contests, but otherwise the Nuggets are on ATS slides of 2-6 overall, 2-6 against Western Conference teams, 1-4 at home and 0-4 following a non-cover.
For the Mavericks, the under is on runs of 51-22 against Northwest Division teams, 6-1 overall, 8-3-1 on Fridays and 5-1 against the Western Conference. Denver has topped the total in seven straight Friday games, but the under is on runs of 9-3 overall, 20-8 against Southwest Division teams, 9-3 against Western Conference and 4-0 at home. In this rivalry, the under is 11-5 in the last 16 series clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
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